Babcock International Group PLC

Public consensus   -   Last updated 21/02/24

Reporting currency: GBP
Reporting unit: Absolute
 
NO. OF
FORECASTS
FY24
CONSENSUS
21/02/24
FY24
MEDIAN
FY24
MIN
FY24
MAX
Revenue
Marine
10
1,469.2
1,459.5
1,440.0
1,533.0
Nuclear
10
1,359.9
1,402.9
1,214.6
1,448.0
Land
10
1,047.8
1,064.6
966.2
1,086.9
Aviation
10
381.2
352.6
328.0
497.7
Total revenue
11
4,264.6
4,284.1
4,132.5
4,334.0
Operating Profit
Marine
10
109.8
109.9
104.6
115.0
Nuclear
10
88.0
89.7
78.2
96.0
Land
10
75.6
75.2
72.5
80.0
Aviation
10
16.4
16.0
13.0
22.0
Unallocated
2
-
-
-
-
Total operating profit
11
290.9
287.6
284.0
303.0
Operating Margin
Marine
9
7.5
7.4
7.2
7.8
Nuclear
9
6.5
6.4
6.2
6.9
Land
9
7.2
7.0
6.9
7.5
Aviation
9
4.2
4.4
3.5
4.7
Total operating margin
10
6.8
6.8
6.6
7.0
Share of results of JVs and associates
8
8.9
9.0
6.0
12.0
Net finance costs
9
(33.7)
(38.7)
(56.3)
23.5
Underlying PBT
8
256.9
258.0
239.0
266.6
Underlying Tax
7
(63.0)
(67.0)
(68.0)
(40.6)
Underlying effective tax rate
1
26.3
26.3
26.3
26.3
Non-controlling interest
4
(2.8)
(3.0)
(3.0)
(2.0)
Ave shares
2
510.2
510.2
503.5
516.9
Underlying net income
9
190.9
192.0
183.0
199.0
EPS basic
11
37.5
37.8
35.4
39.6
DPS p
7
5.8
5.1
5.1
10.0
Cash Flow
Underlying operating profit
1
287.6
287.6
287.6
287.6
Depreciation & amortisation
1
85.1
85.1
85.1
85.1
ROU asset depreciation
1
45.0
45.0
45.0
45.0
Other non-cash items
1
9.4
9.4
9.4
9.4
Working capital
3
(19.7)
(7.1)
(55.0)
3.0
Provisions
2
(16.7)
(16.7)
(18.4)
(15.0)
Net capex
2
(117.5)
(117.5)
(120.0)
(115.0)
Capital element of lease payments
1
(50.0)
(50.0)
(50.0)
(50.0)
Underlying operating cash flow
4
230.7
230.5
223.0
239.0
Pensions contributions in excess of income statement
2
(65.0)
(65.0)
(65.0)
(65.0)
Net interest paid
2
(39.0)
(39.0)
(40.0)
(38.0)
Taxation received/paid
2
(31.0)
(31.0)
(32.0)
(30.0)
Dividends from JVs and associates
2
8.9
8.9
8.7
9.0
Cash flow related to exceptional items
1
-
-
-
-
Free cash flow
9
101.6
104.0
82.9
117.0
Net acquisitions & disposals
1
-
-
-
-
Acquisitions/investments in JVs and associates
1
-
-
-
-
Dividends paid
3
(10.2)
(11.0)
(11.0)
(8.5)
Purchase of own shares
2
(4.0)
(4.0)
(8.0)
-
Capital element of lease payments.
1
50.0
50.0
50.0
50.0
Net new lease arrangements
1
(50.0)
(50.0)
(50.0)
(50.0)
Exchange movements
1
-
-
-
-
Movement in net debt
2
88.9
88.9
79.0
98.8
Opening debt
1
(346.2)
(346.2)
(346.2)
(346.2)
Closing debt
9
(484.4)
(484.7)
(522.5)
(462.0)
Of which is operating leases
4
(220.9)
(218.2)
(229.0)
(218.2)
Closing debt (excluding operating leases)
6
(265.4)
(263.3)
(304.3)
(247.0)

Disclaimer

As a courtesy to its shareholders and other stakeholders, Babcock International Group PLC (Babcock) invites registered sell-side analysts that monitor the stock to submit their forecasts to the Vuma Consensus service, an external web-based tool independently managed by Vuma Financial Services Limited (VUMA), a company independent of Babcock.

The consensus figures are an aggregation of publicly available forecasts collated exclusively by VUMA, but only on the basis of information submitted by those analysts who choose to participate. The consensus figures therefore represent the estimates of these analysts only (not necessarily being the same analysts that contributed to consensus figures for previous results or trading updates) at the time of publication. Analyst estimates can change significantly from time to time. Any such changes in analysts’ estimates will not be reflected in the consensus figures published on VUMA’s website until those sell-side analysts submit their updated forecasts to the tool.
The consensus figure for a particular item represents the arithmetic average of all figures for that item submitted to VUMA by analysts. VUMA has no access to Babcock's internal forecasts, budgets or any other information which is not publicly available.

The consensus figures are not based on Babcock’s own opinions, estimates or forecasts and are compiled and published without comment from, or endorsement or verification by, Babcock.

By enabling publication of the consensus figures and referencing the same on its website, Babcock does not imply that it endorses, confirms or expresses a view on the consensus figures. The consensus figures are provided for informational purposes only and are not intended to, nor do they, constitute investment advice or any solicitation to buy, hold or sell securities or other financial instruments. No warranty or representation, either express or implied, is made by Babcock or its affiliates, or their respective directors, officers and employees, in relation to the accuracy, completeness or achievability of the consensus figures and, to the fullest extent permitted by law, no responsibility or liability is accepted by any of those persons in respect of those matters. Babcock assumes no obligation to update, revise or supplement the consensus figures to reflect circumstances existing after the date hereof.

Babcock does not accept any liability whatsoever for reliance upon, or actions taken based on, any of the information set out in these consensus figures. The consensus figures are forward-looking and as such are speculative and rely on assumptions and events in the future.

The consensus figures do not take into consideration the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular investor. Before making an investment decision, a prospective investor should consider its particular investment needs, objectives and financial circumstances, and should seek appropriate professional advice, tailored to the investor's circumstances. Any investment in securities is subject to investment risks.