Imperial Brands plc

Public consensus   -   Last updated 11/03/20

Reporting currency: GBP
Reporting unit: Absolute
 
NO. OF
FORECASTS
H1 FY20
CONSENSUS
11/03/20
H1 FY20
MIN
H1 FY20
MAX
Reported
Volume Stick Equivalent (bn) - By Reporting Segment
Europe
11
62
60
63
Americas
11
9
9
10
Africa, Asia, Australasia
11
40
38
41
Total Tobacco Volume
11
111
109
111
Net Revenue (£m) - By Reporting Segment - Tobacco & NGP
Europe
11
1,643
1,595
1,755
Americas
11
1,076
1,040
1,122
Africa, Asia, Australasia
11
880
837
912
Total Tobacco & NGP Revenue
11
3,600
3,539
3,766
NGP Revenues (£m)
11
112
77
142
Adjusted Operating Profit (£m) - Tobacco & NGP
Europe
11
725
669
770
Americas
11
355
318
421
Africa, Asia, Australasia
11
332
295
354
Total tobacco & NGP operating profit
11
1,412
1,375
1,464
Logistics Adjusted Operating Profit (£m)
11
104
101
113
Eliminations (£m)
11
(9)
(20)
-
Total Group Adjusted Operating Profit
11
1,507
1,478
1,564
Interest
11
(232)
(276)
(202)
Share of profit of joint ventures
11
26
20
33
Profit Before Tax
11
1,301
1,281
1,316
Tax
11
(274)
(277)
(269)
Tax Rate (%)
11
21.0
21.0
21.4
Minority Interests
11
(47)
(58)
(44)
Earnings
11
980
968
991
Basic weighted average shares in issue
11
949.6
946.6
952.2
Adjusted EPS (p)
11
103.2
102.0
104.3
DPS (p)
10
56.9
-
68.9
Dividend payout ratio %
9
55
55
66
Model Assumptions
Euro/GBP (average)
11
1.115
0.854
1.181
USD/GBP (average)
11
1.200
0.772
1.304

Disclaimer

The consensus figures are an aggregation of publicly available forecasts collated exclusively by VUMA, but only on the basis of information submitted by those analysts who choose to participate. The consensus figure for a particular item represents the arithmetic average of all figures for that item submitted to VUMA by analysts. VUMA has no access to Imperial Brands' internal forecasts, budgets or any other information which is not publicly available.
The consensus figures are not based on Imperial Brands’ own opinions, estimates or forecasts and are compiled and published without comment from, or endorsement or verification by, Imperial Brands. The consensus figures do not necessarily reflect guidance provided from time to time by Imperial Brands where given in relation to equivalent metrics, which to the extent available can be found on the Imperial Brands website.
By enabling publication of the consensus figures and referencing the same on its website, Imperial Brands does not imply that it endorses, confirms or expresses a view on the consensus figures. The consensus figures are provided for informational purposes only and are not intended to, nor do they, constitute investment advice or any solicitation to buy, hold or sell securities or other financial instruments. No warranty or representation, either express or implied, is made by Imperial Brands or its affiliates, or their respective directors, officers and employees, in relation to the accuracy, completeness or achievability of the consensus figures and, to the fullest extent permitted by law, no responsibility or liability is accepted by any of those persons in respect of those matters. Imperial Brands assumes no obligation to update, revise or supplement the consensus figures to reflect circumstances existing after the date hereof.
Imperial Brands does not accept any liability whatsoever for reliance upon, or actions taken based on, any of the information set out in these consensus figures. The consensus figures are forward-looking and as such are speculative and rely on assumptions and events in the future (some or all of which may not be satisfied or may not occur).
The consensus figures do not take into consideration the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular investor. Before making an investment decision, a prospective investor should consider its particular investment needs, objectives and financial circumstances, and should seek appropriate professional advice, tailored to the investor's circumstances. Any investment in securities is subject to investment risks.
Following the release of Imperial Brands’ quarterly results, each of the contributing analysts is asked to submit their estimates to VUMA. The consensus figures therefore represent the estimates of these analysts only (not necessarily being the same analysts that contributed to consensus figures for previous quarters) at the time of publication. Analyst estimates can change significantly from time to time. Any such changes in analysts’ estimates will not be reflected in the consensus figures published on VUMA’s website until Imperial Brands invites sell-side analysts to submit their updated forecasts following the release of Imperial Brands’ next financial results.