Glencore plc

Public consensus   -   Last updated 03/08/18

Reporting currency: USD
Reporting unit: Millions
H1 FY18
CONSENSUS
03/08/18
Financials ($M)
Marketing Adjusted EBITDA
1,597
Marketing Adjusted EBIT
Metals and minerals
1,005
Energy products
446
Agricultural products
97
Corporate and other
(85)
Total Marketing Adjusted EBIT
1,468
Industrial Adjusted EBITDA
Copper
2,762
Zinc
1,256
Nickel
519
Ferroalloys
309
Aluminium/Alumina
(1)
Iron ore
-0
Coal
2,193
Oil
90
Agri
18
Corporate and other
(171)
Total Industrial Adjusted EBITDA
6,952
Industrial Adjusted EBIT
3,835
Total Adjusted EBITDA
8,541
Total depreciation
3,238
Total Adjusted EBIT (pre JV)
5,303
JV adjustment
(376)
Total Adjusted EBIT - reported measure
5,015
Interest expense - net
(697)
Income tax expense
(1,170)
Non-controlling interest
15
Income before significant items
3,163
Shares
Shares (M)
14,287
Shares (diluted) (M)
14,430
EPS (Basic, pre other significant items) - $ cent
22.4
EPS (Diluted) - $ cent
22.1
Balance Sheet & Cashflow
Gross debt
34,573
Cash and cash equivalents
(1,518)
Net Funding
32,016
RMI
(20,157)
Net Debt (defined by Glencore)
9,452
Dividend (USc/share)
7.24
Expansion Capex
Total Expansion Capex
811
Sustaining Capex
Total Sustaining Capex
1,592
Marketing capex (incl. capitalised interest)
96
Total Group Capex
2,365
Industrial Production (own sources)
Total group production own sources
Total Copper (kt)
687.8
Total Zinc (kt)
498.7
Total Lead (kt)
121.3
Total Nickel (kt)
61.6
Total Gold (koz)
536
Total Silver (koz)
16,227
Total Cobalt (kt)
16.2
Total Ferrochrome (kt)
811
Total Platinum (koz)
52
Total Palladium (koz)
63
Total Rhodium (koz)
6
Total Vanadium Pentoxide (Mlb)
9.3
Coal production from own sources (Mt)
Australian Coking coal
3.3
Australian Semi-soft coal
1.7
Australian thermal coal (export)
28.6
Australian thermal coal (domestic)
4.0
South African thermal coal (export)
8.5
South African thermal coal (domestic)
4.8
Prodeco
6.1
Cerrejon
5.3
Total Coal department
62.3
Oil production Glencore entitlement (kbbl)
Equatorial Guinea
1,027
Chad
1,399
Commodity prices and exchange rates
Commodity Prices
Copper price ($/t)
6,502
Zinc price ($/t)
3,049
Lead price ($/t)
2,284
Nickel price ($/t)
12,621
Gold price ($/oz)
1,317
Silver price ($/oz)
17
Cobalt price ($/lb)
39
Ferrochrome (c/lb)
118
Platinum ($/oz)
941
Iron ore price ($/DMT)
69
AU - HCC Realised Export Price ($/t)
188
AU - SS Coal Realised Export Price ($/t)
144
AU - Th Coal Realised Export Price ($/t)
95
AU - Th Coal Realised Domestic Price ($/t)
46
SA - Th Coal Realised Export Price ($/t)
90
SA - Th Coal Realised Domestic Price ($/t)
27
Prodeco - Th Coal Realised Export Price ($/t)
91
Cerrejon - Th Coal Realised Export Price ($/t)
88
Oil price ($/bbl)
71
Exchange rates
AUD:USD
0.80
USD:KZT
323.86
USD:ZAR
11.54
USD:CAD
1.19

Disclaimer

Glencore invites registered sell-side analysts that monitor Glencore’s shares to submit their forecasts to an external web-based tool independently managed by Vuma Financial Limited (VUMA), a company independent of Glencore.

The consensus figures are an aggregation of publicly available forecasts collated exclusively by VUMA, but only on the basis of information submitted by those analysts who choose to participate. The consensus figure for a particular item represents the arithmetic average of all figures for that item submitted to VUMA by analysts. VUMA has no access to Glencore’s internal forecasts, budgets or any other information which is not publicly available.

The consensus figures are not based on Glencore’s own opinions, estimates or forecasts and are compiled and published without comment from, or endorsement or verification by Glencore. The consensus figures do not necessarily reflect guidance provided from time to time by Glencore where given in relation to equivalent metrics, which to the extent available can be found on the Glencore website.

By enabling publication of the consensus figures and referencing the same on its website, Glencore does not imply that it endorses, confirms or expresses a view on the consensus figures. The consensus figures are provided for informational purposes only and are not intended to, nor do they, constitute investment advice or any solicitation to buy, hold or sell securities or other financial instruments. No warranty or representation, either express or implied, is made by Glencore or its affiliates, or their respective directors, officers and employees, in relation to the accuracy, completeness or achievability of the consensus figures and, to the fullest extent permitted by law, no responsibility or liability is accepted by any of those persons in respect of those matters. Glencore assumes no obligation to update, revise or supplement the consensus figures to reflect circumstances existing after the date hereof.

Glencore does not accept any liability whatsoever for reliance upon, or actions taken based on, any of the information set out in these consensus figures. The consensus figures are forward-looking and as such are speculative and rely on assumptions and events in the future (some or all of which may not be satisfied or may not occur).

The consensus figures do not take into consideration the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular investor. Before making an investment decision, a prospective investor should consider its particular investment needs, objectives and financial circumstances, and should seek appropriate professional advice, tailored to the investor's circumstances. Any investment in securities is subject to investment risks.

Ahead of the release of each of Glencore’s Quarterly Production Reports, sell-side analysts who follow the Company are requested to submit their estimates to VUMA. The consensus figures therefore represent only the estimates of these analysts who contribute (not necessarily being the same analysts that contributed to consensus figures for previous quarters). Analyst estimates can change significantly from time to time, as commodity prices and foreign exchange rates, among other things, can change rapidly. Any such changes in analysts’ estimates will not be reflected in the consensus figures published on VUMA’s website until these analysts submit their updated forecasts ahead of the release of Glencore’s next Quarterly Production Report. No analyst who has entered its estimates into VUMA after the end of the prior reporting period has been excluded from the aggregate consensus figures for that reporting period.